14-Month Low for the Dollar

The USD reached its 14-month low versus the EUR as investors choose higher yielding assets for trading abandoning dollars. On Tuesday the EUR/USD reached the top of $1.4828 and ended trades at $1.4786. The last time when these results were seen was August 2008. Gold seems to be the most attractive asset for trading.
The investors looking for high yield ignored pessimistic Euro-Zone economic data to ensure the better-returning Euro to $1.50. It seems that this level will be attained shortly.

The greenback may drop even more today before the government reports its forecast to deliver consumer prices rose last month. This report is one the most important economic events for today.

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Consumer Confidence in UK Reaches Its 18-Month High

According to U.K. Nationwide Building Society, consumer confidence index rose to 71, its highest point for the last year and a half. Such an increase adds to recovery signs showing that the U.K. economy is on its way to complete growth.
Tomorrow Bank of England is supposed to announce its further direction of the monetary policy probably keeping its benchmark interest rate at its current low in spite of all signs that the recession fades away.

Economic reports last week appeared to deliver positive information. Thus, U.K. house prices have already reached its last year levels showing the end of shrinking in house sector. Consumer spending rose by 3 percent to 103 level.

Some positive news from labor market in Great Britain: the measuring of hiring for jobs inclined to 51.3 in September, from 50.6 in August.

American Unemployment Rises

American job market remains now the worst problem zone in the US economy. 263,000 Americans lost their jobs in September much worse than expected by the market analysts. The major losses are seen now in services and construction industry. Thus, the unemployment rate in September is 9.8 percent from the active part of the population. Last month the jobless rate was 9.7 percent. Current result has been considered as the lowest one for last 26 years. 10 percent mark will probably be attained by the end of the year.

Worse than expected employment data have stopped and reversed the USD upside trend. This had traders questioning the US economy recovery and pushed them away from trades with dollar in the list of their financial operations.

ECB`s Decision Spurs the EUR for a Jump

Yesterday the ECB announced it would lend banks 75.2 billion euros for a year term at the current interest rate of 1%. The number appeared to be lower, than it was anticipated by the experts. The EUR/USD currency pair achieved the level of 1.4634 from 1.4581 point marked on Tuesday. Loose economic policy measures encourages traders who use trading software to choose risky assets for trading.

The unexpectedly low PMI report added to a mixed results of U.S. data released Wednesday, including an improved second-quarter U.S. GDP report, but disappointing U.S. jobless claims, confirming investors' speculations that a sustained economic recovery won't take hold.

The GBP has continued its further falling against other currencies traded on the Forex currency market, unable to shake off the comments by Mervyn King Bank, the Bank of England governor that a weak Pound would be an advantage for the U.K.'s recovery from the global downturn. In today's trading the GBP is at $1.5942 versus the USD.

Today the ministers of finance of EU countries meet in Sweden to discuss further direction of the European economy.

Bearishness as Future for Dollar

The advance of the USD continues. The EUR/USD pair is now traded 1.4620. And the GBP/USD is close to 1.5900 level durinf European forex trading hours. The JPY is the only currency to gain versus the greenback after reaching its 8-month low of 88.22. The pair is now traded near 90.00 mark as the latest Forex quotes show. Announcements made by Minister Fujii have producedinfluence on many traders wondering if Japan will not intervene in its currency's recent rise. If it chooses not to do that, the target for the USD/JPY may be close to 82.00 very soon.

Looking ahead to today`s events, however, the most important one will be the Conference Board's release of their Consumer Confidence announcement at 14:00 GMT. As the trend is currently pointing towards rising optimism in the US, bearishness for the USD may still be seen today.

Federal Reserve May Announce Exit of Stimulus Measures

Concern that FOMC may remove stimulus measures encouraged appeal for the US Dollars. As a result the Dollar reached its week high versus the Yen and the Euro, according to Bloomberg.

Many economists tend to suppose that FOMC is likely to become a catalyst of USD rising as FED will probably announce the withdrawal of its economy stimulus measures. The USD rose to 92.17 yen as of 7:45 a.m. in London from 91.29 yen in New York Sept. 18. It jumped to $1.4645 per euro from $1.4712. The U.S. currency advanced to $1.6143 per pound from $1.6271, after earlier touching $1.6135, the highest level for the last three weeks. The USD index climbed 0.6 percent to 76.878.

The JPY fell to its three-week bottom versus the Euro after Hirohisa Fujii new Finance Minister refused to make comments meaning he would let the Japanese currency rise.

It is expected that Japan will remain the only country among big economies that will keep its benchmark interest rate at a record low. Japan`s Overnight call rate is now at the lowest level worldwide . The economy is likely to expand 0.8 percent next year after declining 6 percent in 2009 putting assets in the world’s second-largest economy not in favor comparing to those in countries with higher borrowing rates.

Extreme Budget Deficit for UK

Today Great Britain released the highest level of budget deficit since 1993.

As the Office for National Statistics deliverd today, the 16.1 billion-pound ($26.3 billion) deficit in budget is the largest one especially compared with a deficit of 9.9 billion pounds in August 2008. Total current government receipts fell 9.1% from a year ago to 34.1 billion pounds, while total current spending inclined to 45.6 billion from 44.3 billion pounds.

These data may be considered as a significant impact on Gordon Brown`s positions before the elections. David Cameron, the leader of Conservative party accused Brown of misleading Parliament when Treasury documents showed that in April the Labour government was predictong it would have to curb departmental budgets by 9.3 percent in real terms by 2014 because of soaring welfare and debt-interest costs.

The GBP responded negatively falling to its lowest Forex rates.